Validationon the record.
Hypothesis-first validation: every empirical claim stated with its falsifier and bound to numbered experiments E1 through E7, completed or scheduled.
6 beats · 3 min to read in full
The validation programis organized hypothesis-first
The validation program is organized hypothesis-first: each load-bearing claim is stated at full strength with its falsifier, and bound to numbered experiments, completed or scheduled.
Condensed from the note.
The hypothesesvalidation
H1: Mint integrity. Completion read from environment-captured state mints no fiction: false claims settle at rate zero, while any self-report channel settles them at approximately the false-claim rate.
Condensed from the note.
Completed experiments (E1to E3, mock mode)
E1: verification source (H1). 200 identical units, an agent that falsely claims done with probability 0.05.
Self-report
False claims 7 · Silently settled 7 · Rate 3.5%
Environment snapshot
False claims 7 · Silently settled 0 · Rate 0.0%
Condensed from the note.
The roadmap (E4to E7)
Results and per-run data are published here as they land.
E4 (H1, H2)
real-mode replication of E1 to E3 with a production coding agent and measured tokens. The false-claim rate becomes a measurement, and the tenure curve becomes evidence. In progress.
E5 (H3)
pilot ledgers: the dashboard instrumented on real work across at least three unit types.
E6 (H3)
predictive study: QER* trend vs token spend, task counts, and benchmark scores as predictors of renewal, expansion, and P&L attribution.
E7 (H4)
longitudinal budget-drift audit under the gaming mitigations.
Condensed from the note.
That is the note,in one pass.
This is Validation condensed to its beats. The full note carries every paragraph, the tables, the code, and the source it was adapted from.